Markets move. Context matters.
Price performance, geopolitical risk and the events connecting them.
A year in perspective
Relative performance · indexed to 100 · BTC / SOL / ETH in USDC, XAUT in USD
Hover over a point for prices. Click an event dot to explore the reaction.
Risk in the same period
Risk / return comparisons
Pearson correlation: daily index change in points versus returns from the previous close through the selected window. Full-year matched observations, without filling gaps. Windows overlap and include same-day trading; this is association, not causation or a trading signal. Historical index values may be revised.
What happened around the move?
Complete catalogue · returns from the close before each event
| Date / event | BTC | SOL | ETH | XAUT |
|---|
Daily return correlation
Full-year Pearson correlation on shared daily returns.
+1: move together · 0: no linear relationship · −1: move oppositely.
The largest daily moves
Largest absolute returns across the four assets. Nearby events are research leads.
Technology stocks
NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Starlink (via SpaceX) and Oracle · USD
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One year of technology performance
Adjusted daily closes · indexed to 100 on the first shared trading session
Weekends and exchange holidays have no trading sessions. The chart uses completed daily history; the latest reported quote may be newer. Adjusted closes account for provider split and dividend adjustments and can be revised. Quotes may be delayed. Price methodology ↗
Technology events & market reactions
Company announcements, chips, AI, cloud and product launches. Click a marker to explore returns.
Adjusted return from the preceding trading close through the 1st, 3rd or 7th session on or after the event date. Non-trading dates map to the next session. Date-level windows can include trading before an announcement or exclude after-close effects. — means missing history or an unfinished window. Timing association does not establish causation; other news and overlapping events may explain the move.
What could come next?
Stock trends with economic market indicators and archived geopolitical risk.
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Research forecasts, not trading recommendations. A probability is not a guarantee. Models can underperform a simple historical baseline.